AGP Executive Report

Sudan-Egypt Diplomacy: Egypt’s FM Badr Abdelatty met Sudan’s Finance and Economic Planning Minister Gibril Ibrahim to expand economic cooperation, remove trade obstacles, and support Sudan’s reconstruction—covering roads/transport and medical and pharmaceutical sectors—while Abdelatty reiterated Egypt’s backing for Sudan’s unity and a Sudanese-led political settlement. Sudan Peace Talks: Anti-war groups held a two-day meeting in Ethiopia to discuss Burhan’s call for dialogue, with participants saying the process must link to real pathways to comprehensive peace. Humanitarian & Press Safety: Sudanese journalists warned that political and military labeling is putting media workers at growing risk of targeting and retaliation as the conflict deepens. Religious Violence in South Kordofan: Open Doors reported rising killings, abductions, and attacks on Christian leaders and communities in Sudan’s Nuba Mountains amid intensifying faction fighting in South Kordofan. Sanctions Warning: Sudan’s Sovereignty Council chief and President both warned that new sanctions could come “in coming days,” as external pressure mounts around the war.

Sudan Dialogue Push: Anti-war groups met in Ethiopia to discuss Sudan’s Sovereignty Council chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s call for dialogue, with participants stressing that any political track must be tied to real peace steps. Sanctions Warning: Al-Burhan told residents in Al Jazirah that new sanctions could come “in the coming days,” while insisting military operations will continue until RSF is defeated. Media Safety: The Sudanese Journalists Syndicate warned that journalists are being pulled into the conflict through political and military labeling, raising fears of targeting and retaliation. Nuba Mountains Attacks: Open Doors reported rising killings, abductions and attacks on Christian communities in South Kordofan, including the killing of a pastor and kidnappings of other church leaders. Humanitarian Access Pressure: Open Doors also raised alarms over violence in Sudan, while reporting growing safety concerns for civilians and aid workers.

Sudan Peace & Dialogue: Anti-war groups met in Addis Ababa to discuss dialogue after Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s call, with participants including Sumoud and the Umma Party, while Sudan’s FM said political dialogue would soon begin. Sanctions Warning: Burhan warned Sudan could face new sanctions “in the coming days,” as the army vowed to keep operations against the RSF. Defections & Frontline Pressure: Khartoum announced major RSF defections, including commanders and hundreds of personnel, as fighting continues. Humanitarian & Health Crisis: Heatstroke deaths in Sudan’s Red Sea State rose sharply, with officials calling it part of a broader public-health emergency. Food & Climate Stress: Farmers across Sudan face worsening irrigation conditions as Nile levels drop amid delayed rains linked to El Niño, piling onto war-driven fuel and fertilizer shocks. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt’s FM Badr Abdelatty held calls with Greece on de-escalation and navigation security, while Sudan’s war remains tied to wider regional instability.

RSF Defections and Sanctions Warning: Sudan’s Sovereignty Council chief Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan warned that sanctions could be imposed “in the coming days,” as Khartoum reported new RSF defections, including commanders and hundreds of personnel switching sides. Nile Water Stress on Farmers: With El Niño-linked delayed rains and falling Nile levels, Sudanese farmers say farmland is going barren amid war, fuel and fertilizer price pressures, and a weak market. Humanitarian Protection Under Drones: UN humanitarian chief Tom Fletcher warned that drone warfare is outpacing accountability, stressing that international rules still protect civilians and aid workers. Health Crisis in the Heat: Sudan’s Red Sea State reported 16 heatstroke deaths amid rising cases, highlighting how climate pressure and strained services are turning extreme temperatures deadly. Drug Crackdown in Northern Bahr el Ghazal: Police in Aweil Center said they seized hundreds of tramadol “Longo” cartons and vowed tougher action against dealers. Local Politics in Aweil Center: SPLM activities were scheduled for Tuesdays ahead of December elections, with party members tasked to coordinate at county and payam level.

Sanctions Watch: Sudan’s Sovereignty Council chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan warned sanctions could be imposed on Khartoum “in the coming days,” as the army vows to crush the RSF and as defections from the RSF to the Sudanese military continue. Defections & Frontline Shifts: Khartoum says new RSF defections include commanders, personnel and combat vehicles, underscoring how the war is reshaping loyalties. Humanitarian Pressure Point: A separate report highlights Sudan’s deadly heatstroke toll in Red Sea State, showing how conflict-stressed services and crowded living conditions turn extreme weather into a public-health emergency. Protection for Civilians: Christian leaders in Sudan’s Nuba Mountains warn of rising killings and abductions tied to intensifying factional fighting, adding to fears for vulnerable communities. Regional Diplomacy: Qatar reiterated its expanding humanitarian role across crisis zones including Sudan, pairing emergency aid with longer-term support. Aid Access & Food Security: UN reporting warns climate-linked shocks like a strengthening El Niño could push tens of millions more into acute food insecurity, raising stakes for Sudan’s already fragile conditions.

Sudan War & Security: Sudan’s army says it has destroyed at least six Chinese-made CH-95 drones since June, highlighting a growing drone contest in the conflict. Humanitarian Access: In Khartoum’s Southern Belt, community kitchens (“takayas”) have shut down after the army retook the area and funding was cut, leaving about 50,000 families without meals as prices surge. Women & Politics: Sudanese women leaders say El Burhan’s call for dialogue is meaningless without a ceasefire and real civilian participation. Rights Monitoring: Ahead of the UN Human Rights Council session, civil groups urge extending the Sudan Independent International Fact-Finding Mission for two years, including reporting on El Obeid. Religious Safety: Open Doors warns of rising killings, abductions and attacks on Christians in Sudan’s Nuba Mountains as factional fighting intensifies.

Sudan War Update: Sudan’s army says dozens of RSF fighters led by Gen. Musa Khamsin have defected and joined the army, with commanders citing disappointment in the RSF’s “Tasis” project and urging more defections from Darfur and Kordofan. Humanitarian Returns: Sudan’s Al-Amal Committee for Voluntary Return says 870 Sudanese left Egypt for home on 30 buses, including university professors and students, as the group coordinates support with Sudanese and Egyptian authorities. Military Tech in the Air: A new report says the Sudanese army has destroyed at least six Chinese-made CH-95 drones since June, while Turkish Bayraktar Akıncı systems have been intercepting RSF drones—highlighting a deadly drone contest over the war. Regional Diplomacy: Kuwait and Sudan discussed economic cooperation and financial ties as Sudan’s finance minister visited Kuwait, while Qatar and Egypt signed four agreements in El Alamein covering customs, development, health, and a hospital project in Sohag. Blue Nile Pressure: Egypt’s response to Ethiopia’s renewed Blue Nile dam plans leans on diplomacy and pressure, but the GERD experience shows Cairo’s leverage may be limited.

Sudan War Update: Sudanese Doctors Network warns that renewed fighting and attacks by the RSF have driven 5,000+ people from Qeissan to Damazin in Blue Nile, leaving families short of food, medicine, clean water and shelter as heavy rains raise health risks. Humanitarian Protection: On World Humanitarian Day, the UN says 350 aid workers were killed worldwide in 2025, with Gaza and Sudan the worst-hit; it also flags drones as a growing threat to civilians and responders. Defections to the Army: Sudan’s army says more than 300 RSF fighters defected, moving from North Darfur to Omdurman, while Darfur armed groups demand accountability for alleged war crimes. Diplomacy for De-escalation: Sudan’s Sovereign Council, via Deputy Chairman Malik Agar, is pursuing discreet engagement with Ethiopia to reduce border tensions tied to earlier drone accusations. Political Track: Commentary argues Sudan’s “national dialogue” is the best route to stabilize the country alongside military efforts, warning elite wrangling can’t continue amid worsening suffering. Regional Context: Separate reporting highlights Eritrea’s expanding security influence across eastern Sudan’s borderlands.

Sudan War & Displacement: The UN’s IOM says fighting has driven at least 200,000 more people from their homes since late 2025, as floods compound the crisis; overall, 8.6 million people have fled the war since April 2023, with access to water, electricity, and healthcare increasingly disrupted. Humanitarian Protection: World Humanitarian Day coverage highlights Sudan as the world’s worst displacement and humanitarian emergency, with aid workers facing deadly conditions and a growing “protection” gap. RSF Defections: Sudan’s army says 318 RSF fighters, including four commanders, defected and joined the army in Northern State, citing internal weaknesses and a push for “Sudan’s unity.” Floods as a War Multiplier: A separate report argues Sudan’s floods can’t be treated as seasonal alone; violence, displacement, and damaged infrastructure turn heavy rain into catastrophe. Diplomacy: Sudan’s ambassador to Nigeria says Khartoum institutions and businesses are resuming operations and rejects RSF claims that conditions in the capital are worsening.

RSF Defections: Sudan’s army says hundreds of RSF fighters, including commanders, defected and joined the armed forces in Al-Dabba, citing “absence of institutional structures” inside the RSF and pledging to restore security. Humanitarian Protection Crisis: World Humanitarian Day coverage highlights a “crisis of protection” for aid workers, with the UN reporting 350 aid workers killed worldwide in 2025—71 in Sudan—warning that drones and attacks on convoys and health facilities are driving the toll. Education Returns in Khartoum: In the capital, children are trickling back to school as security improves in parts of Khartoum, but damaged buildings, overcrowding, teacher shortages, and years of lost learning remain major hurdles. Nile Waters Debate: A Sudanese former water minister argues Ethiopia’s planned Blue Nile cascade dams pose no threat if filling and operations are coordinated, stressing regulated flows could reduce floods and stabilize supplies for downstream countries. Red Sea Security: Commentary on Saudi Arabia’s new Red Sea maritime defense alliance underscores how the coalition’s membership is expanding amid rising threats to navigation and trade routes.

Maritime Security in the Red Sea: Saudi Arabia has launched a Saudi-led 14-country Multinational Maritime Defense Alliance, headquartered in Riyadh, to protect shipping routes after Houthi threats and attacks tied to the wider Iran conflict. Sudan War Spillover: The alliance includes Sudan among its signatories, underscoring how the Sudan war and regional instability are increasingly linked to Red Sea security and trade routes. Blue Nile Displacement: In Sudan’s Blue Nile state, more than 5,000 people displaced by RSF attacks have arrived in Damazin, with Sudan Doctors Network warning of severe shortages of food, medicine, and shelter as heavy rains could worsen health risks. Regional Politics: Arab League chief Nabil Fahmi met a UK minister to discuss Gaza, Gulf security, and regional crises including Sudan, with emphasis on protecting freedom of navigation and pushing for political solutions. Humanitarian Pressure: The same week’s reporting highlights how displacement across Sudan is driving urgent needs for water, medical supplies, and tents, as fighting continues to disrupt access and services.

Sudan–Saudi Ties: Khartoum and Riyadh signed an agreement to set up a Supreme Council for Strategic Cooperation, aiming to institutionalize cooperation across economic, investment, trade and political areas, with Red Sea security flagged as a priority. Blue Nile Displacement: RSF attacks in Geissan have driven more than 5,000 people to Damazin, where Sudan Doctors Network warns of severe shortages of food, medicine and shelter, with heavy rains likely to worsen health risks. AU Push for Dialogue: The AU chair called for Sudan-wide dialogue and reconciliation, but the piece notes the country is splintered between army and RSF control, while accusations of external arming and blocked aid keep peace talks fragile. Burhan’s Dialogue Offer: New reporting says Sudan’s army chief is again backing inclusive dialogue and amnesty-style proposals, while insisting the RSF must be defeated first. Humanitarian Return: Kuwait-backed aid helped launch the first direct voluntary return flight for Sudanese refugees from Uganda to Khartoum, with more flights planned. Education Restart: In Khartoum, some pupils are returning to school as security improves, though damaged infrastructure and teacher shortages remain major hurdles. Local Human Interest: Authorities in Aweil East launched a search after a newborn was reportedly abandoned at Malualkon Hospital.

National Dialogue Push: Sudan’s PM Kamil Idris says a national dialogue will start “soon” to drive reconciliation, constitutional rebuilding and elections, while setting “red lines” against putting SAF and RSF on equal footing and against foreign interference. Ceasefire Diplomacy: The African Union launched a new push for a Sudan ceasefire, aiming to improve humanitarian access and revive a political process as fighting continues across Khartoum, Darfur and Kordofan. War’s Human Cost: In Blue Nile’s Qaisan area, IOM reports fresh displacement as families flee during the harvest season, underscoring how insecurity is spreading and livelihoods are collapsing. Humanitarian Safety: The UN marks World Humanitarian Day with a grim tally: 350 aid workers killed in 2025, with Sudan among the worst-hit, and warns drones are driving more civilian deaths. Refugee Returns: Kuwait-backed efforts begin with a first direct flight carrying 150 Sudanese refugees from Uganda to Khartoum, part of a plan for over 1,000 voluntary returns. Regional Water Tensions: Egypt warns Ethiopia against building more Nile dams, saying Cairo has options to defend its water interests as GERD-related leverage fears grow. Heritage Under Threat: The Meroë Pyramids face deterioration as Sudan’s war disrupts preservation and accelerates damage. Saudi-Sudan Ties: Saudi and Sudan foreign ministers sign a Saudi-Sudanese Coordination Council to deepen cooperation.

Sudan War Diplomacy: The African Union Peace and Security Council rejected foreign interference in Sudan and warned against “parallel” governments, urging dialogue and a comprehensive political settlement as it met Sudan’s Sovereignty Council chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Khartoum. National Dialogue Push: Sudan’s Prime Minister Kamil Idris said a Sudanese-led national dialogue will begin “soon,” aiming at reconciliation, constitutional reconstruction and free elections, while setting “red lines” including refusing to put the Sudanese Armed Forces and RSF on equal footing and opposing foreign meddling. Dialogue Debate: Al-Burhan’s agreement to conditional dialogue sparked political debate over whether talks during war can stop fighting, with critics focused on guarantees and the demand that the RSF lay down arms first. Refugee Returns: Kuwait-backed efforts helped kick off voluntary returns of Sudanese refugees from Uganda, with the first flights under a project targeting over 1,000 people. Humanitarian Strain: A new report highlights how women-led humanitarian groups are collapsing as needs rise and funding falls, warning that many may shut down within a year—an issue that hits Sudan’s conflict response hard.

AU diplomacy and sovereignty: The African Union Peace and Security Council rejected foreign interference in Sudan and warned against parallel governments, urging dialogue and national reconciliation as it begins a two-day push in Khartoum to support a ceasefire, humanitarian access, and a political process. Dialogue and elections: Sudan’s Prime Minister Kamil Idris said a Sudanese-led national dialogue will start “soon,” aiming at reconciliation, constitutional reconstruction, and free elections, while setting “red lines” against putting the SAF and RSF on equal footing and against foreign meddling. Army unity message: Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan pledged legal, political, and security guarantees for the planned dialogue, said the armed forces are “the military of all Sudan,” and vowed to keep defending unity and stability. Humanitarian pressure from drones: Aid groups warn that drone warfare is making relief work deadlier, with attacks on health and education services and growing fear among civilians and children. Refugee returns: Kuwait-backed flights began a voluntary return project for more than 1,000 Sudanese refugees in Uganda, aiming to reunite families over about six weeks. Women demand a seat at the table: Sudanese feminist and civil society voices called for broad participation in any dialogue, with real safety guarantees for participants, including women, youth, and grassroots groups.

Sudan Peace Talks: Sudan’s army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan says the military is open to “genuine” peace, but only if the RSF lays down arms first—he rejects any deal that lets RSF leaders return to power and outlines a sequence starting with disarmament, civilian returns, and restored services. Dialogue Guarantees: Burhan also backs an all-party Sudanese dialogue led by an independent national mechanism, offering temporary immunity and suspending criminal proceedings for participants while talks run, with protections for free speech during sessions. War’s Human Cost: A new warning says Sudan’s health system is collapsing beyond hospitals, with 37% of facilities non-functional in 2026—fueling preventable illness, unsafe childbirth, and avoidable deaths. Regional Security Link: Egypt and Turkey renewed focus on Sudan, urging political solutions and support for Sudan’s national institutions as the war continues to disrupt trade routes and stability. Migration Pressure Abroad: Morocco blocked a planned second surge toward Ceuta, detaining hundreds of migrants including Sudanese, as Europe braces for another border crisis.